Previewing State vs. Saint Louis
Sassie#1 Mar 20, 6:24 a.m.
The great news is at least if we lose we can blame it on being tired.
Dr. PwntV2 Mar 19, 11:23 p.m.
From the N&O
N.C. State moves on if ...
The Wolfpack can channel the energy and confidence from Tuesday’s win over Xavier and ignore the exhaustion of its fifth game in eight days. The Billikens, who won the Atlantic 10, are a fabulous defensive team but not as accomplished on offense. With T.J. Warren and Ralston Turner scoring like they did against Xavier, Saint Louis could be vulnerable, especially if the Billikens start to think about how they’ve lost four of their past five games.
N.C. State goes home if ...
The more experienced, defensive-minded Billikens, who start five seniors, assert themselves and squeeze the confidence out of N.C. State’s young lineup. The Wolfpack struggled with strong, man defensive teams, such as Clemson and Virginia, and Saint Louis is of that ilk. The Billikens are making their third straight NCAA tournament appearance, unlike N.C. State, it’s with the same cast of regulars as last season. That experience might be the Wolfpack’s downfall.
Dr. PwntV2 Mar 19, 11:21 p.m.
Here's where N.C. State is vulnerable to SLU:
HUGE experience gap. SLU is No. 10 among D-1 teams and N.C. State is No. 330 (out of 351). SLU's 5 starters are all seniors who were starters or in the regular rotation from last years team that made a run into the third round.
N.C. State hasn't shot three-pointers well, making 30 percent.
A bad free-throw rate, 66.1 percent, which ranks 292nd.
N.C. State's defense has a relatively low rate of forcing turnovers (17.6 pct.) and that should help a SLU offense that's had problems taking care of the ball.
N.C. State was ranked 12th in the ACC (and No. 144 nationally) in adjusted defensive efficiency. But will SLU's offense be good enough to take advantage of it?
This could be a big one: N.C. State gives up a lot of offensive rebounds; ranking No. 338 nationally in allowing an ORB rate of 36.3 percent. This is one of the poorest defensive rebounding teams in the nation.
Dr. PwntV2 Mar 19, 11:17 p.m.
Lifted from the St Louis paper...
Here's how N.C. State could pose problems for SLU:
The Wolfpack are No. 28 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. That's better than any Atlantic 10 team that SLU faced this season; the best of the A-10 lot was Dayton at No. 30.
The Wolfpack have a low turnover rate – they rank 34th among 351 teams with a turnover percentage of 15.9 pct.
The Wolfpack can go get offensive rebounds, ranking 64th with an offensive-rebound percentage of 35 pct …
The Wolpack ranks 18th in “effective” height. SLU ranks 87th.
The Wolfpack gets more playing-time minutes from its bench than SLU does. The Billikens rank 223rd in percentage of minutes contributed by the bench (28.4 percent.)
SLU plays excellent defense against the 3-point shot but that isn't N.C. State's game. The Wolfpack ranks No. 4 nationally in two-point shooting at 61.6 percent. The much of the damage done by the outstanding 6-8 sophomore forward, T.J. Warren, who averages just under 25 points per game.
That said, N.C. State doesn't have a lot of assists, ranking 238th with an assist rate of 49.3 percent on its baskets. There are a lot of isolation plays in this offense, and SLU is capable of handling that.
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