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NFL

NFL Juggernauts and Fading Has Beens


Courtesy of Jim Feist


NFL parity is alive and well in 2014! The Chiefs had a terrific run, storming into first place...until the 0-10 Raiders stunned them, 24-20. Jacksonville has had another miserable season, but the lone victory during a terrible start was in mid-season against Cleveland, 24-6 -- the same Browns team that has been contention for a division title all year. Even the laughable Jets found a way to thump the Steelers, 20-13, and nearly pulled off a win at the Patriots as a big dog, a 27-25 defeat, missing a last second field goal.

Every team has flaws that can be exploited. The Broncos were running away with the AFC West, until losing 2 of 3 with various injuries to key offensive players. The schedule certainly didn't help, as that came during a three-game road trip, a grueling scheduling stretch.

New Orleans has the flashy, high powered offense behind QB Drew Brees and a revamped defense for second-year DC Rob Ryan, but they still seem to be a team built to play indoors at home. The defense has taken a step back and they continue to struggle on the road, losing at Dallas, Cleveland, Atlanta and Detroit.

The season is also littered with flops. The Panthers, Vikings, Redskins, NY Giants and Texans were expected to be better and but were out of it at the halfway point of the season. The Rams have had high hopes the last two years with a slew of draft picks, but have been maddeningly inconsistent because of quarterback play. How many teams with losing records can say they beat the Broncos, 49ers and defending champion Seahawks? Only the Rams can. Of course, they have trouble with the bad teams, for some reason.

Oddsmakers make adjustments on teams all during the season, such as five years ago when the Saints and Colts started red hot. After starting 6-0 SU/ATS, the Saints went 2-8 ATS to end the regular season, often as a double digit favorite. That's what can happen to public teams, either popular teams or ones with a flashy offense like the 2013 Broncos, 2009 Saints and 2007 Patriots.

This season oddsmakers had to adjust to the total for the Patriots and Packers, two teams that got off to slow offensive starts in September but then caught fire. The Patriots are on a 58-27 run over the total and when these teams met last month the total was 58, the highest in the NFL all season.

Normally we are at the time of the pro football campaign where some teams have mentally and physically packed in the season. It's been a lost season or one with higher expectations and players, especially ones on poorly coached teams, can just go through the motions. That can show up on the scoreboard and at the wagering window.

Last year Houston lost 10 in a row after a 2-0 start and then fired their coach. The Redskins went from a division title in 2012 to last place last season, a dejected group that was a money-burner (3-9 ATS run). And do you think it's fun to play for the Jags, Raiders or Jets down the stretch of this lost campaign?

Teams that need to be watched closely as on the bubble for packing it in might be the Giants, Jets, Bucs, Bears, Titans and Raiders. Pro players have pride and know the score. Taking out their frustrations on a powerhouse team is not uncommon. The good teams aren't that much better from year to year than bad ones. Parity and the salary cap have leveled the playing field and schedules are longer, all of which makes it that much harder to dominate.

The 1962 Green Bay Packers enjoyed a 10-0 start on the way to a 13-1 season, ending in a 16-7 win in the championship game over the Giants as one of Vince Lombardi's best teams. They came close to running the table, except for a surprising Thanksgiving Day loss to Detroit, 26-14 (trailing 26-0 to the fired up Lions). Even NFL David's can be gunning for Goliath this time of the season - if they haven't already packed it in.

For more tips and sports betting information, check out Jim Feist TV


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Scoreboard
Local
Final
CAR 17
CLE 13
Final
NYR 1
CAR 0
Final
TOR 118
NYK 108
Final
CLE 105
MEM 91
Final
MIA 100
BOS 84
Final
BRK 110
DET 105
Final
SAC 108
LAL 101
Final
ORL 88
PHI 96
Final
WAS 92
PHO 104
Final
MIN 96
IND 100
Final
OKC 99
NOP 101
Final
UVA 76
HARV 27
Final
BGU 68
FERST 82
 
Final
ARMY 72
MAINE 69
 
Final
QUIN 60
ORST 52
Final
CLST 69
USF 65
 
Final
CARK 55
CCAR 72
 
Final
UWGB 66
ARKLR 46
 
Final
RAD 74
CORN 61
 
Final
UNT 62
CREI 58
Final
CAN 67
HC 48
 
Final
USB 67
GHND 52
 
Final
OKST 64
MD 73
Final
WINT 100
REIN 72
 
Final
UGST 68
SMISS 55
Final
NEOM 77
TXPA 72
 
Final
STLU 58
VERM 55
 
Final
UNCA 62
WCU 66
 
Final
EVAN 81
ALAST 63
 
Final
HART 82
FIU 69
 
Final
VALPO 82
GOSHEN 55
 
Final
LIP 69
PEAY 63
 
Final
DEN 46
BRY 48
 
Final
MONT 62
SD 67
 
Final
MTST 65
TENST 47
Final
SAMF 64
LAMON 50
 
Final
SCAR 78
COKR 52
 
Final
HAMP 75
NARZ 66
 
Final
SDU 71
SDCHR 61
 
Final
BC 71
USC 75
Final
NICST 64
TROY 65
 
Final
BRAD 47
UCI 55
 
Final
UGA 65
SHU 47
Final
ALA 60
APP 59
Final
KSU 53
NDST 52
 
Final
WASU 82
SJST 53
2nd
UTEP 59
ALCOR 27
 
Half
SEAT 30
SACST 17
 
Final
DET 1
COL 2
Final
EDM 5
DAL 6
Final
BOS 4
BUF 3
Final
NYR 1
CAR 0
Final
CHI 4
TOR 0
2nd Intermission
WIN 3
PHI 1
 
Final
NOS 14
ATL 30
Final
HOU 25
BAL 13
Final
CAR 17
CLE 13
Final
CHI 14
DET 20
Final
TAM 3
GBP 20
Final
PIT 20
KAN 12
Final
MIA 37
MIN 35
Final
NYJ 16
NEP 17
Final
STL 27
NYG 37
Final
OAK 26
BUF 24
Final
DAL 42
IND 7
3rd
ARI 3
SEA 14